Georgia State
W-L: (26-30) PR = 93.6380Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 213 H New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 10- 6 214 H New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 12- 4 214 H New Orleans SL ( 6-10, 93.8) 5- 4 217 H Belmont MV ( 4-12, 91.7) 2- 4 218 H Cal State Northridge BW (24-29, 93.6) 0- 4 220 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 14-11 221 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 9- 3 222 H Bellarmine AS (18-33, 91.2) 18- 8 224 A Georgia Tech ACC (48-12, 99.9) 9- 4 227 A Belmont MV ( 4-12, 91.7) 4- 1 228 A Belmont MV ( 4-12, 91.7) 7- 8 228 A Belmont MV ( 4-12, 91.7) 3-16 301 H UAB AME (31-27, 94.9) 4- 9 303 A Boston College ACC (34-25, 95.9) 1- 4 306 A SIU Edwardsville OV ( 3- 8, 91.4) 7- 5 307 H Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 5- 2 307 H Charleston Southern BSO ( 9- 9, 93.4) 1- 9 310 H Mercer SO (13- 8, 95.3) 6-16 313 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 2- 5 314 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 2- 4 315 A Marshall SB (24-32, 93.5) 7-13 320 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 5- 2 321 A App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 5-10 322 H Arkansas State SB (29-25, 95.5) 9- 5 324 H Alabama State SWAC ( 8- 9, 91.8) 4- 7 327 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 6-18 328 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 0- 1 329 H Texas State SB (36-27, 95.0) 3-12 331 A Georgia SEC (52-14, 98.9) 9-14 402 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 10- 7 403 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 12- 3 403 A UL Monroe SB (31-23, 94.6) 9-10 407 H Wofford SO ( 5- 5, 94.5) 4- 7 410 A UCLA B10 (48-12, 98.4) 10- 4 411 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 10- 0 412 H Janes Madison SB (20-31, 92.1) 5- 4 414 H West Georgia AS (15-39, 91.1) 5- 2 417 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 7-15 418 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 2- 7 419 A Coastal Carolina SB (35-24, 95.5) 11- 5 424 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 2-10 425 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 10- 4 426 H Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 8- 7 502 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 1- 5 502 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 1-14 503 A Louisiana SB (40-27, 95.1) 3- 4 505 A Kennesaw State CUSA (27-25, 94.7) 9-10 508 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 5- 1 508 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 10- 5 509 A Georgia Southern SB (16-40, 91.9) 5- 6 514 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 2- 9 515 A Memphis AME (27-30, 94.4) 4- 2 516 H App State SB (31-23, 95.2) 3- 2 519 A Old Dominion SB (28-25, 93.3) 17- 1 520 A Southern Miss SB (40-20, 96.6) 6- 7 521 A South Alabama SB (33-24, 95.2) 4- 7
PREDICTION LIST
-------------------------------------
|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
-------------------------------------
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
213 H New Orleans 10- 6 4 0 + 3.52
214 H New Orleans 12- 4 8 0 +++ 7.52
214 H New Orleans 5- 4 1 0 0.52
217 H Belmont 2- 4 -2 3 -- -4.57
218 H Cal State Northridge 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.68
220 A Villanova 14-11 3 3 0.36
221 H Bellarmine 9- 3 6 3 + 2.85
222 H Bellarmine 18- 8 10 3 +++ 6.85
224 A Georgia Tech 9- 4 5 -7 +++ 11.94
227 A Belmont 4- 1 3 1 1.78
228 A Belmont 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.22
228 A Belmont 3-16 -13 1 --- -14.22
301 H UAB 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.44
303 A Boston College 1- 4 -3 -3 -0.10
306 A SIU Edwardsville 7- 5 2 2 0.44
307 H Charleston Southern 5- 2 3 1 + 2.07
307 H Charleston Southern 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.93
310 H Mercer 6-16 -10 -1 --- -8.97
313 A Marshall 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.50
314 A Marshall 2- 4 -2 -1 -1.50
315 A Marshall 7-13 -6 -1 -- -5.50
320 H Arkansas State 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.21
321 A App State 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.78
322 H Arkansas State 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.21
324 H Alabama State 4- 7 -3 3 -- -5.54
327 H Texas State 6-18 -12 -1 --- -11.30
329 H Texas State 3-12 -9 -1 --- -8.30
331 A Georgia 9-14 -5 -6 0.98
402 A UL Monroe 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 4.65
403 A UL Monroe 12- 3 9 -2 +++ 10.65
403 A UL Monroe 9-10 -1 -2 0.65
407 H Wofford 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.83
410 A UCLA 10- 4 6 -5 +++ 11.45
411 H Janes Madison 10- 0 10 2 +++ 7.79
412 H Janes Madison 5- 4 1 2 -1.21
414 H West Georgia 5- 2 3 3 -0.24
417 A Coastal Carolina 7-15 -8 -3 -- -5.48
418 A Coastal Carolina 2- 7 -5 -3 - -2.48
419 A Coastal Carolina 11- 5 6 -3 +++ 8.52
424 H Old Dominion 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.00
425 H Old Dominion 10- 4 6 1 ++ 5.00
426 H Old Dominion 8- 7 1 1 -0.00
502 A Louisiana 1- 5 -4 -2 -1.88
502 A Louisiana 1-14 -13 -2 --- -10.88
503 A Louisiana 3- 4 -1 -2 1.12
505 A Kennesaw State 9-10 -1 -2 0.71
508 A Georgia Southern 5- 1 4 1 + 2.95
508 A Georgia Southern 10- 5 5 1 + 3.95
509 A Georgia Southern 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.05
514 A Memphis 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.59
515 A Memphis 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.41
516 H App State 3- 2 1 -1 1.86
519 A Old Dominion 17- 1 16 0 +++ 14.35
520 A Southern Miss 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.66
521 A South Alabama 4- 7 -3 -2 -0.77
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UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 228 A Belmont 3-16 -13 1 --- -14.22 307 H Charleston Southern 1- 9 -8 1 --- -8.93 310 H Mercer 6-16 -10 -1 --- -8.97 327 H Texas State 6-18 -12 -1 --- -11.30 329 H Texas State 3-12 -9 -1 --- -8.30 424 H Old Dominion 2-10 -8 1 --- -9.00 502 A Louisiana 1-14 -13 -2 --- -10.88 217 H Belmont 2- 4 -2 3 -- -4.57 218 H Cal State Northridge 0- 4 -4 1 -- -4.68 301 H UAB 4- 9 -5 -1 -- -4.44 315 A Marshall 7-13 -6 -1 -- -5.50 324 H Alabama State 4- 7 -3 3 -- -5.54 417 A Coastal Carolina 7-15 -8 -3 -- -5.48 514 A Memphis 2- 9 -7 -1 -- -5.59 228 A Belmont 7- 8 -1 1 - -2.22 313 A Marshall 2- 5 -3 -1 - -2.50 321 A App State 5-10 -5 -2 - -2.78 407 H Wofford 4- 7 -3 0 - -2.83 418 A Coastal Carolina 2- 7 -5 -3 - -2.48 509 A Georgia Southern 5- 6 -1 1 - -2.05 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 214 H New Orleans 12- 4 8 0 +++ 7.52 222 H Bellarmine 18- 8 10 3 +++ 6.85 224 A Georgia Tech 9- 4 5 -7 +++ 11.94 403 A UL Monroe 12- 3 9 -2 +++ 10.65 410 A UCLA 10- 4 6 -5 +++ 11.45 411 H Janes Madison 10- 0 10 2 +++ 7.79 419 A Coastal Carolina 11- 5 6 -3 +++ 8.52 519 A Old Dominion 17- 1 16 0 +++ 14.35 320 H Arkansas State 5- 2 3 -1 ++ 4.21 322 H Arkansas State 9- 5 4 -1 ++ 5.21 402 A UL Monroe 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 4.65 425 H Old Dominion 10- 4 6 1 ++ 5.00 213 H New Orleans 10- 6 4 0 + 3.52 221 H Bellarmine 9- 3 6 3 + 2.85 307 H Charleston Southern 5- 2 3 1 + 2.07 508 A Georgia Southern 5- 1 4 1 + 2.95 508 A Georgia Southern 10- 5 5 1 + 3.95 515 A Memphis 4- 2 2 -1 + 3.41 520 A Southern Miss 6- 7 -1 -4 + 2.66 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 H New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 10- 6 -6.07 12.36 -0.68 0.52 12.07
3 H New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 12- 4 -6.07 12.36 -0.68 0.52 12.07
3 H New Orleans ( 6-10, 93.8) 5- 4 -6.07 12.36 -0.68 0.52 12.07
3 H Belmont ( 4-12, 91.7) 2- 4 -8.16 10.27 -0.68 0.52 -2.28
3 H Cal State Nort (24-29, 93.6) 0- 4 -6.27 12.16 -0.68 0.52 -1.79
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 14-11 -9.57 8.85 0.68 0.52 9.84
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 9- 3 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.52 9.31
3 H Bellarmine (18-33, 91.2) 18- 8 -8.74 9.69 -0.68 0.52 9.31
3 A Georgia Tech (48-12, 99.9) 9- 4 -0.00 18.43 0.68 0.52 19.73
3 A Belmont ( 4-12, 91.7) 4- 1 -8.16 10.27 0.68 0.52 11.31
3 A Belmont ( 4-12, 91.7) 7- 8 -8.16 10.27 0.68 0.52 -1.93
3 A Belmont ( 4-12, 91.7) 3-16 -8.16 10.27 0.68 0.52 -1.93
3 H UAB (31-27, 94.9) 4- 9 -5.02 13.40 -0.68 0.52 -1.47
3 A Boston College (34-25, 95.9) 1- 4 -4.04 14.39 0.68 0.52 -0.87
3 A SIU Edwardsvil ( 3- 8, 91.4) 7- 5 -8.50 9.93 0.68 0.52 10.95
3 H Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 5- 2 -6.52 11.91 -0.68 0.52 11.60
3 H Charleston Sou ( 9- 9, 93.4) 1- 9 -6.52 11.91 -0.68 0.52 -1.86
3 H Mercer (13- 8, 95.3) 6-16 -4.55 13.87 -0.68 0.52 -1.35
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 2- 5 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.52 -1.49
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 2- 4 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.52 -1.49
3 A Marshall (24-32, 93.5) 7-13 -6.44 11.99 0.68 0.52 -1.49
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 5- 2 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.52 13.81
3 A App State (31-23, 95.2) 5-10 -4.72 13.70 0.68 0.52 -1.04
3 H Arkansas State (29-25, 95.5) 9- 5 -4.38 14.05 -0.68 0.52 13.81
3 H Alabama State ( 8- 9, 91.8) 4- 7 -8.13 10.30 -0.68 0.52 -2.27
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 6-18 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.52 -1.44
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 0- 1 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.52 -1.44
3 H Texas State (36-27, 95.0) 3-12 -4.88 13.54 -0.68 0.52 -1.44
3 A Georgia (52-14, 98.9) 9-14 -0.95 17.47 0.68 0.52 -0.07
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 10- 7 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.52 14.27
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 12- 3 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.52 14.27
3 A UL Monroe (31-23, 94.6) 9-10 -5.28 13.14 0.68 0.52 -1.19
3 H Wofford ( 5- 5, 94.5) 4- 7 -5.41 13.01 -0.68 0.52 -1.57
3 A UCLA (48-12, 98.4) 10- 4 -1.48 16.94 0.68 0.52 18.20
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 10- 0 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.52 10.28
3 H Janes Madison (20-31, 92.1) 5- 4 -7.80 10.63 -0.68 0.52 10.28
3 H West Georgia (15-39, 91.1) 5- 2 -8.82 9.60 -0.68 0.52 9.22
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 7-15 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.52 -0.97
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 2- 7 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.52 -0.97
3 A Coastal Caroli (35-24, 95.5) 11- 5 -4.42 14.01 0.68 0.52 15.17
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 2-10 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.52 -1.88
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 10- 4 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.52 11.53
3 H Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 8- 7 -6.59 11.84 -0.68 0.52 11.53
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 1- 5 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.52 -1.07
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 1-14 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.52 -1.07
3 A Louisiana (40-27, 95.1) 3- 4 -4.82 13.61 0.68 0.52 -1.07
3 A Kennesaw State (27-25, 94.7) 9-10 -5.22 13.20 0.68 0.52 -1.17
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 5- 1 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.52 11.48
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 10- 5 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.52 11.48
3 A Georgia Southe (16-40, 91.9) 5- 6 -7.99 10.43 0.68 0.52 -1.89
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 2- 9 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.52 -1.25
3 A Memphis (27-30, 94.4) 4- 2 -5.53 12.90 0.68 0.52 14.02
3 H App State (31-23, 95.2) 3- 2 -4.72 13.70 -0.68 0.52 13.46
3 A Old Dominion (28-25, 93.3) 17- 1 -6.59 11.84 0.68 0.52 12.92
3 A Southern Miss (40-20, 96.6) 6- 7 -3.27 15.15 0.68 0.52 -0.67
3 A South Alabama (33-24, 95.2) 4- 7 -4.71 13.72 0.68 0.52 -1.04
------
282.51
|
winning pts = 323.9670 losing points = -41.4539
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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